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The NZ economy will progressively recover over 2010 after shrinking more than 3%.
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Changed credit markets, high government and household debt will temper the global recovery.
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April is the earliest to expect the RBNZ to start lifting the OCR but June now looks more realistic.
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Report Prepared by:
Nick Tuffley
ASB Chief Economist
Phone: +64 9 374 8604
Fax: +64 9 302 0992